\u6c99\u904a\u6cbb\u7642 \u662f\u6cbb\u7642\u5e2b\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e00\u500b\u6c99\u76e4\uff0c\u9084\u6709\u4ee3\u8868\u842c\u5343\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u7269\u4ef6\uff0c\u8b93\u500b\u6848\u5728\u6c99\u76e4\u4e4b\u4e2d\u81ea\u767c\u5730\u5e03\u7f6e\u4e00\u500b\u4e16\u754c\u6216\u6c99\u5716\uff0c\u5728\u60f3\u50cf\u6c99\u5716\u8207\u6311\u9078\u7269\u4ef6\u7684\u904e\u7a0b\u7576\u4e2d\u8b93\u500b\u4eba\u5167\u5728\u7684\u6f5b\u610f\u8b58\u6709\u6a5f\u6703\u6d6e\u73fe\uff0c\u9032\u800c\u9054\u5230\u610f\u8b58\u8207\u6f5b\u610f\u8b58\u9593\u7684\u4ea4\u6d41\u6574\u5408\uff0c\u6c99\u904a\u4e26\u4e0d\u5f37\u8abf\u8a00\u8aaa\uff0c\u53cd\u800c\u5f37\u8abf\u975c\u9ed8\uff0c\u5f37\u8abf\u5c0d\u65bc\u6c99\u5716\u8c61\u5fb5\u7684\u5fc3\u9818\u795e\u6703\uff0c\u76f4\u5165\u4eba\u5fc3\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u7576\u8ac7\u5230\u6c99\u904a\u6cbb\u7642\uff0c\u5f88\u591a\u4eba\u6703\u8a8d\u70ba\u9019\u5c31\u662f\u4e00\u7a2e\u975e\u53e3\u8a9e\u7684\u8aee\u5546\u5de5\u4f5c\u65b9\u5f0f\uff0c\u9069\u7528\u65bc\u53e3\u8a9e\u8868\u9054\u80fd\u529b\u4e0d\u4f73\u7684\u6848\u4e3b\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u4e5f\u6709\u4eba\u6703\u9593\u63a5\u5c07\u53e3\u8a9e\u8aee\u5546\u624d\u662f\u4e00\u822c\u6b63\u7d71\u7684\u8aee\u5546\u65b9\u5f0f\uff0c\u975e\u53e3\u8a9e\u8aee\u5546\u662f\u5728\u7121\u6cd5\u9032\u884c\u53e3\u8a9e\u6642\u7684\u66ff\u4ee3\u65b9\u5f0f\u3002\u6c99\u904a\u6cbb\u7642\u7576\u4e2d\u7684\u975e\u53e3\u8a9e\u5176\u5be6\u4e26\u4e0d\u662f\u7121\u8a9e\u8a00\u7684\uff0c\u800c\u61c9\u8a72\u8aaa\u5b83\u904b\u7528\u7684\u662f\u300c\u8c61\u5fb5\u8a9e\u8a00\u300d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5fc3\u7406\u5b78\u5bb6\u69ae\u683c\u5728\u5176\u6700\u5f8c\u8457\u4f5c \u300a \u4eba\u53ca\u5176\u8c61\u5fb5 \u300b \u63d0\u5230\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u6709\u592a\u591a\u4e8b\u60c5\u8d85\u8d8a\u4e86\u4eba\u985e\u7684\u7406\u89e3\u7bc4\u570d\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u4fbf\u7d93\u5e38\u7528\u300c\u8c61\u5fb5\u8a9e\u8a00\u300d\u4f86\u8868\u8ff0\u6211\u5011\u7121\u6cd5\u754c\u5b9a\u6216\u5b8c\u5168\u7406\u89e3\u7684\u6982\u5ff5\uff0c\u8c61\u5fb5\u64c1\u6709\u66f4\u5ee3\u95ca\u7684\u6f5b\u610f\u8b58\u5c64\u9762\uff0c\u7576\u4e00\u500b\u5b57\u6216\u4e00\u500b\u5f62\u8c61\u6240\u96b1\u542b\u7684\u6771\u897f\uff0c\u8d85\u904e\u5176\u986f\u800c\u6613\u898b\u7684\u76f4\u63a5\u610f\u7fa9\u6642\uff0c\u5c31\u5177\u6709\u4e86\u8c61\u5fb5\u6027\u3002<\/p><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

\u6c99\u904a\u7269\u4ef6\u7576\u4e2d\u7684\u5c4b\u3001\u6a39\u3001\u52d5\u7269\u3001\u6eaa\u6e56\u5e38\u6709\u5176\u8868\u9762\u4ee5\u5916\u7684\u610f\u6db5\uff0c\u500b\u6848\u7684\u6c99\u666f\u9664\u4e86\u8868\u9762\u7684\u5916\u89c0\uff0c\u5728\u5176\u500b\u4eba\u5167\u5728\uff0c\u6c99\u666f\u4e5f\u6709\u8c50\u5bcc\uff0c\u800c\u7121\u6cd5\u8a00\u8a6e\u7684\u90e8\u5206\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5728\u5c71\u53e3\u5468\u7684\u300a\u7f8e\u610f\u8b58\uff1a\u70ba\u4ec0\u9ebc\u5546\u754c\u83c1\u82f1\u90fd\u5728\u57f9\u990a\u300c\u7f8e\u611f\u300d\uff1f\u300b\u4ed6\u63d0\u5230\uff0c\u73fe\u4ee3\u793e\u6703\u6f38\u8da8\u300cVUCA\u300d\u4ea6\u5373\u4e0d\u7a69\u5b9a(Volatility)\u3001 \u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a(Uncertainty)\u3001\u8907\u96dc(Complexity)\u3001\u66d6\u6627(Ambiguity)\u3002\u8a31\u591a\u6210\u4eba\u9762\u5c0d\u500b\u4eba\u7684\u56f0\u64fe\uff0c\u5728\u6c42\u52a9\u5fc3\u7406\u5e2b\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u5176\u5be6\u5e38\u662f\u5df2\u7d93\u7aae\u5176\u908f\u8f2f\u7406\u6027\u4f86\u89e3\u6c7a\u5b83\u500b\u4eba\u6240\u9047\u5230\u7684\u554f\u984c\uff0c\u800c\u4e00\u5473\u8b1b\u6c42\u908f\u8f2f\u7406\u6027\u7684\u8a71\uff0c\u53ea\u6703\u4f7f\u554f\u984c\u89e3\u6c7a\u529b\u548c\u5275\u9020\u529b\u9677\u5165\u9ebb\u75fa\u7671\u7613\u3002\u908f\u8f2f\u7406\u6027\u6642\u5e38\u5c31\u662f\u4f34\u96a8\u8457\u8a9e\u8a00\u601d\u8003\uff0c\u5176\u7279\u8272\u5728\u5c07\u554f\u984c\u767c\u751f\u8207\u5176\u4e3b\u8981\u56e0\u7d20\u52a0\u4ee5\u62bd\u8c61\u5316\u3001\u6982\u5ff5\u5316\uff0c\u4e26\u5957\u5165\u975c\u614b\u7684\u56e0\u679c\u95dc\u4fc2\u6a21\u578b\u4e2d\uff0c\u4ee5\u601d\u8003\u51fa\u89e3\u6c7a\u65b9\u6848\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u7576\u9020\u6210\u554f\u984c\u7684\u56e0\u7d20\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u518d\u52a0\u4e0a\u56e0\u679c\u95dc\u4fc2\u4e0d\u505c\u8b8a\u5316\u4e14\u8907\u96dc\u5316\u7684\u73fe\u6cc1\u4e0b\uff0c\u904e\u53bb\u7684\u89e3\u6c7a\u65b9\u6cd5\u5df2\u7136\u5931<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\u5728\u932f\u7d9c\u8907\u96dc\u7684\u8981\u7d20\u4e92\u76f8\u727d\u52d5\u7684\u4e16\u754c\u4e2d\uff0c\u5316\u7d04\u8ad6\uff08Reductionism\uff09\u7684\u908f\u8f2f\u601d\u7dad\uff0c\u5e38\u7d93\u7121\u6cd5\u6709\u6548\u5730\u627e\u5230\u89e3\u7b54\u3002\u9019\u6642\u76f4\u89c0\u638c\u63e1\u6574\u9ad4\u7684\u611f\u6027\u80fd\u529b\uff0c\u53cd\u800c\u5275\u9020\u51fa\u80fd\u611f\u53d7\u5230\u300c\u771f\u3001\u5584\u3001\u7f8e\u300d\u7684\u7b56\u7565\u69cb\u60f3\u529b\u548c\u5275\u9020\u529b\u3002\u6c99\u904a\u6cbb\u7642\u7684\u7279\u6027\u5c31\u662f\u5e6b\u52a9\u500b\u6848\u9032\u5165\u5230\u975e\u53e3\u8a9e\u7684\u76f4\u89c0\u4e16\u754c\uff0c\u64a5\u96e2\u6389\u8a9e\u8a00\u908f\u8f2f\u601d\u8003\u5e36\u4f86\u7684\u7d81\u5b9a\u8207\u9650\u5236\uff0c\u4f7f\u5f97\u500b\u4eba\u7684\u5167\u5fc3\u60c5\u611f\u3001\u8c61\u5fb5\u601d\u7dad\u5728\u6c99\u76e4\u7576\u4e2d\u7d71\u5408\u6210\u4e00\u500b\u65b0\u7684\u6c99\u666f\uff0c\u800c\u4e00\u500b\u4eba\u7684\u76f4\u89ba\u3001\u9748\u611f\u3001\u9818\u609f\u3001\u9813\u609f\u3001\u9748\u5149\u4e00\u9583\u4e5f\u5bb9\u6613\u5728\u9019\u6a23\u7684\u72c0\u6cc1\u4e0b\u767c\u751f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u6c99\u904a\u6cbb\u7642\u7684\u56e0\u7d20\u975e\u5e38\u591a\u5143\uff0c\u975e\u50c5\u70ba\u672c\u6587\u6240\u63d0\u53ca\u4e4b\u8c61\u5fb5\u601d\u7dad\uff0c\u672c\u6587\u671f\u5f85\u8b93\u8b80\u8005\u66f4\u80fd\u7406\u89e3\u5230\u6c99\u904a\u6cbb\u7642\u7684\u975e\u8a9e\u8a00\u5c64\u9762\u4e26\u975e\u662f\u4e00\u7a2e\u6b21\u4e00\u7b49\u7684\u6cbb\u7642\u65b9\u5f0f\uff0c\u5176\u6839\u672c\u4e0a\u5c31\u662f\u53e6\u4e00\u5957\u601d\u7dad\u904b\u4f5c\u65b9\u5f0f\uff0c\u4e26\u80fd\u5e6b\u52a9\u73fe\u4ee3\u4eba\u907f\u958b\u908f\u8f2f\u601d\u7dad\u7684\u9677\u9631\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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\u7576\u8ac7\u5230\u6c99\u904a\u6cbb\u7642\uff0c\u5f88\u591a\u4eba\u6703\u8a8d\u70ba\u9019\u5c31\u662f\u4e00\u7a2e\u975e\u53e3\u8a9e\u7684\u8aee\u5546\u5de5\u4f5c\u65b9\u5f0f\uff0c\u9069\u7528\u65bc\u53e3\u8a9e\u8868\u9054\u80fd\u529b\u4e0d\u4f73\u7684\u6848\u4e3b\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u4e5f\u6709\u4eba\u6703\u9593\u63a5\u5c07\u53e3\u8a9e\u8aee\u5546\u624d\u662f\u4e00\u822c\u6b63\u7d71\u7684\u8aee\u5546\u65b9\u5f0f\uff0c\u975e\u53e3\u8a9e\u8aee\u5546\u662f\u5728\u7121\u6cd5\u9032\u884c\u53e3\u8a9e\u6642\u7684\u66ff\u4ee3\u65b9\u5f0f\u3002\u6c99\u904a\u6cbb\u7642\u7576\u4e2d\u7684\u975e\u53e3\u8a9e\u5176\u5be6\u4e26\u4e0d\u662f\u7121\u8a9e\u8a00\u7684\uff0c\u800c\u61c9\u8a72\u8aaa\u5b83\u904b\u7528\u7684\u662f\u300c\u8c61\u5fb5\u8a9e\u8a00\u300d\u3002 \u5fc3\u7406\u5b78\u5bb6\u69ae\u683c\u5728\u5176\u6700\u5f8c\u8457\u4f5c \u300a \u4eba\u53ca\u5176\u8c61\u5fb5 \u300b \u63d0\u5230\uff1a \u6709\u592a\u591a\u4e8b\u60c5\u8d85\u8d8a\u4e86\u4eba\u985e\u7684\u7406\u89e3\u7bc4\u570d\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u4fbf\u7d93\u5e38\u7528\u300c\u8c61\u5fb5\u8a9e\u8a00\u300d\u4f86\u8868\u8ff0\u6211\u5011\u7121\u6cd5\u754c\u5b9a\u6216\u5b8c\u5168\u7406\u89e3\u7684\u6982\u5ff5\uff0c\u8c61\u5fb5\u64c1\u6709\u66f4\u5ee3\u95ca\u7684\u6f5b\u610f\u8b58\u5c64\u9762\uff0c\u7576\u4e00\u500b\u5b57\u6216\u4e00\u500b\u5f62\u8c61\u6240\u96b1\u542b\u7684\u6771\u897f\uff0c\u8d85\u904e\u5176\u986f\u800c\u6613\u898b\u7684\u76f4\u63a5\u610f\u7fa9\u6642\uff0c\u5c31\u5177\u6709\u4e86\u8c61\u5fb5\u6027\u3002 \u6c99\u904a\u7269\u4ef6\u7576\u4e2d\u7684\u5c4b\u3001\u6a39\u3001\u52d5\u7269\u3001\u6eaa\u6e56\u5e38\u6709\u5176\u8868\u9762\u4ee5\u5916\u7684\u610f\u6db5\uff0c\u500b\u6848\u7684\u6c99\u666f\u9664\u4e86\u8868\u9762\u7684\u5916\u89c0\uff0c\u5728\u5176\u500b\u4eba\u5167\u5728\uff0c\u6c99\u666f\u4e5f\u6709\u8c50\u5bcc\uff0c\u800c\u7121\u6cd5\u8a00\u8a6e\u7684\u90e8\u5206\u3002 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